Kenneth G Manton

Scientific Director, Center for Demographic Studies, Duke University
Medical Research Professor, Duke University

PhD, Duke University
MA, Duke University

Dr. Manton’s research focuses on health status forecasting, long-term care issues, and statistical modeling. His interests include mathematical models of disability, morbidity and mortality using fuzzy metric multi-variate embedded stochastic processes.

He is Research Professor of Demographic Studies, Medical Research Professor of the Duke University Medical Center Department of Community & Family Medicine, and Senior Fellow of the Center for the Study of Aging and Human Development.

Email Address
919-684-6126

Related Publications

Akushevich I, Kulminshi A, Akushevich L, and Manton KG. 2006. Age Patterns of Disease Incidences in the U.S. Elderly: Population-Based Analysis. TRENDS Working Paper 06-6.

Manton KG, Gu X, Lamb VL. 2006. Long-Term Trends in Life Expectancy and Active Life Expectancy in the United States. Population and Development Review 32(1): 81–106.

Manton KG, Gu X, and Ukraintseva SV. 2005. Declining Prevalence of Dementia in the U.S. Elderly Population. Adv Gerontol 16:30-7.

Arbeev KG, Butov AA, Manton KG, Sannikov IA, and Yashin AI. 2004. Disability Trends in Gender and Race Groups of Early Retirement Ages in the Usa. Sozial-Und Praventivmedizin 49(2):142-51.

Freedman VA, Crimmins EM, Schoeni RF, Spillman BC, Aykan H, Kramarow E, Land K, Lubitz J, Manton KG, Martin LG, Shinberg D, Waidmann TA. 2004. Resolving Inconsistencies in Trends in Old-Age Disability: Report From a Technical Working Group. Demography 41(3):417-41.

Corder EH, and Manton KG. 2001. Change in the prevalence of severe dementia among older Americans: 1982-1999. (Paper presented at the IUSSP XXIV General Population Conference, Salvador, Brazil, August.)

Manton KG, and Gu X. 2001. Changes in the prevalence of chronic disability in the United States black and nonblack population above age 65 from 1982 to 1999. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 98:6354-6359.

Manton KG, Stallard E, and Corder L. 1998. The dynamics of dimensions of age-related disability 1982 to 1995 in the U.S. elderly population. Journal of Gerontology: Biological Sciences 53A, B59-B70.

Waidmann TA, and Manton KG. 1998. International Evidence on Disability Trends Among the Elderly. US DHHS

Manton KG, Corder L, and Stallard E. 1997. Chronic disability trends in elderly United States populations: 1982-1994. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 94:2593-2598.

Manton KG, Stallard E, and Corder L. 1995. Changes in morbidity and chronic disability in the U.S. elderly population: Evidence for the 1982, 1984, and 1989 National Long Term Care Surveys. Journal of Gerontology: Social Sciences 50B:S194-S204.

Manton KG, Corder L, and Stallard E. 1993. Estimates of change in chronic disability and institutional incidence and prevalence rates in the U.S. elderly population from the 1982, 1984, and 1989 National Long Term Care Survey. Journal of Gerontology: Social Sciences 48:S153-S166.

Manton KG, Corder LS, Stallard E. 1993. Estimates of Change in Chronic Disability and Institutional Incidence and Prevalence Rates in the United-States Elderly Population From the 1982, 1984, and 1989 National Long-Term-Care Survey. Journals of Gerontology 48(4): S153-S166.

Manton KG. 1988. Longitudinal study of functional change and mortality in the United States. Journals of Gerontology 43(5): S153-S161.