Bibliography: All Studies
The bibliography consists of published and unpublished studies that examine trends in old-age health, disability and mortality. If you are aware of studies on these topics not listed in the bibliography, please
email the citation to TRENDS.
2008
Murabito JM, Pencina MJ, Zhu L, Kelly-Hayes M, Shrader P, and D'Agostino RB. 2008. Temporal trends in self-reported functional limitations and physical disability among the community-dwelling elderly population: the Framingham heart study. American Journal of Public Health 98(7):1256-62.
Wolf DA, and Gill TM. 2008. Fitting Event-History Models to Uneventful Data. TRENDS Working Paper 08-07.
2007
Freedman VA, Schoeni RF, Martin LG, and Cornman J. 2007. Chronic Conditions and the Decline in Late-Life Disability. Demography 44(3):459-477.
Lafortune G, and Balestat G et al. 2007. Trends in Severe Disability Among Elderly People: Assessing the Evidence in 12 OECD Countries and the Future Implications. OECD Health Working Papers No. 26.
Martin LG, Schoeni RF, Freedman VA, and Andreski P. 2007. Feeling Better? Trends in General Health Status. Journal of Gerontology 62:S11-S2.
National Center for Health Statistics . 2007. Health, United States, 2006, Special Excerpt: Trend Tables on 65 and older Population. DHHS Publication No. 2007-0152. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, U.S. Department of Health and Human Services.
Wolf DA, Mendes de Leon C, Glass T. 2007. Trends in Rates of Onset of and Recovery from Disability at Older Ages: 1982-1994. Journal of Gerontology: Social Sciences Forthcoming.
2006
Akushevich I, Kulminshi A, Akushevich L, and Manton KG. 2006. Age Patterns of Disease Incidences in the U.S. Elderly: Population-Based Analysis. TRENDS Working Paper 06-6.
Cai L, Schenker N, Lubitz J. 2006. Analysis of Functional Status Transitions Using a Semi-Markov Process Model in the Presence of Left-Censored Spells. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Forthcoming.
Freedman VA, Agree E, Martin LG, Cornman J. 2006. Trends in the Use of Assistive Technology and Personal Care for Late-Life Disability, 1992–2001. The Gerontologist 46(1): 124-127.
Freedman VA, Schoeni RF, Martin LG, Cornman J. 2006. Chronic Conditions and the Decline in Late-Life Disability. TRENDS Working Paper 06-5.
Manton KG, Gu X, Lamb VL. 2006. Long-Term Trends in Life Expectancy and Active Life Expectancy in the United States. Population and Development Review 32(1): 81–106.
2005
Aijanseppa S, Notkola IL, Tijhuis M, Van Staveren W, Kromhout D, and Nissinen A. 2005. Physical Functioning in Elderly Europeans: 10 Year Changes in the North and South: the Hale Project. Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health 59(5):413-19.
Bhattacharya J, Choudhry K, and Lakdawalla D. 2005. Chronic Disease and Trends in Severe Disability in Working Age Populations. TRENDS Working Paper 05-04.
Freedman VA, Martin LG, Cornman J, Agree E, and Schoeni RF. 2005. Trends in Assistance with Daily Activities: Racial/Ethnic and Socioeconomic Disparities Persist in the U.S. Older Population. TRENDS Working Paper 05-2.
Hassing LB, and Johansson B. 2005. Aging and Cognition. Nordisk Psykologi 57(1):4-20.
Li Y, Corder EH, Corder LS. 2005. Disability Patterns For Us Elderly Nursing Home Residents Over Two Decades: Findings From The 1973 To 1997 National Nursing Home Surveys. in Longer Life and Healthy Aging, Editors: Zeng Yi, Eileen Crimmins, Yves Carriere, and Jean-Marie Robine. pp. 35-47. Kluwer Springer.
Manton KG, Gu X, and Ukraintseva SV. 2005. Declining Prevalence of Dementia in the U.S. Elderly Population. Adv Gerontol 16:30-7.
Schoeni RF, Freedman VA, and Martin LG. 2005. Socioeconomic and Demographic Disparities in Trends in Old-Age Disability. TRENDS Working Paper 05-1.
Schoeni RF, Liang J, Bennett J, Sugisawa H, Fukaya T, and Kobayashi E. 2005. Trends in Old-Age Functioning and Disability in Japan: 1993-2002. TRENDS Working Paper 05-3.
Schoeni RF, Martin LG, Andreski P, Freedman VA. 2005. Persistent and Growing Disparities in Disability Among the Elderly: 1982-2002. American Journal of Public Health 95(11):2065-2070.
Wolf DA, Hunt K, Knickman J. 2005. Perspectives on the Recent Decline in Disability at Older Ages. Milbank Quarterly 83(3):365-95.
2004
Arbeev KG, Butov AA, Manton KG, Sannikov IA, and Yashin AI. 2004. Disability Trends in Gender and Race Groups of Early Retirement Ages in the Usa. Sozial-Und Praventivmedizin 49(2):142-51.
Comijs HC, Dik MG, Deeg DJ, and Jonker C. 2004. The Course of Cognitive Decline in Older Persons: Results From the Longitudinal Aging Study Amsterdam. Dementia and Geriatric Cognitive Disorders 17(3):136-42.
Crimmins EM. 2004. Trends in the Health of the Elderly. Annual Review of Public Health 25:79-98.
Freedman VA, Crimmins EM, Schoeni RF, Spillman BC, Aykan H, Kramarow E, Land K, Lubitz J, Manton KG, Martin LG, Shinberg D, Waidmann TA. 2004. Resolving Inconsistencies in Trends in Old-Age Disability: Report From a Technical Working Group. Demography 41(3):417-41.
Lee DJ, Gomez-Marin O, Lam BL, and Zheng DD. 2004. Trends in Hearing Impairment in United States Adults: the National Health Interview Survey, 1986-1995. Journals of Gerontology Series a-Biological Sciences and Medical Sciences 59(11):1186-90.
Ofstedal M, Zimmer Z, Chan A, Chuang YL, Natividad J, and Tang Z. 2004. Changes in the prevalence of functional limitation among older Asians: A cross-national comparison. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Gerontological Society of America, Washington DC, November.
Spillman BC. 2004. Changes in Elderly Disability Rates and the Implications for Health Care Utilization and Cost. The Milbank Quarterly 82(1):157-194.
Sturm R, Ringel JS, and Andreyeva T. 2004. Increasing Obesity Rates and Disability Trends. Health Affairs 23(2):199-205.
2003
Cutler DM. 2003. Intensive Medical Technology and the Reduction in Disability.
Freedman VA, and Martin LG. 2003. Beyond inconsistent results: Finding the truth about trends in late-life cognitive functioning. Commentary on ‘Trends in scores on tests of cognitive ability in the elderly U.S. population, 1993-2000. Journals of Gerontology: Social Sciences 58B(6): S347-S348.
Freedman VA, Aykan H. 2003. Trends in Medication Use and Functioning Before Retirement Age: Are They Linked? Health Affairs 22(4): 154-162.
Fries FJ. 2003. Measuring and Monitoring Success in Compressing Morbidity. Annals of Internal Medicine 139: 455-459.
Giles LC, Cameron ID, Crotty M. 2003. Disability in Older Australians: Projections for 2006-2031. Medical Journal of Australia 179(3): 130-133.
Kaneda T, and Raymo JM. 2003. Trends in the Quantity and Quality of Life at Older Ages in Japan. In Demographic Change and the Family in Japan’s Aging Society. Ed JW Traphagan and J Knight. State University of New York Press, Albany.
Krishnan E, and Fries JF. 2003. Reduction in Long-term Functional Disability in Rheumatoid Arthritis from 1977 to 1998: A Longitudinal Study of 3035 Patients. American Journal of Medicine 115:371–376.
Lakdawalla D, Bhattacharya J, Goldman D. 2003. Are the Young Becoming More Disabled? Appendix. Rand Health Working Paper WR-113.
Lubitz J, Cai L, Kramarow E, Lentzner H. 2003. Health, Life Expectancy, and Health Care Spending among the Elderly. New England Journal of Medicine 349(11):1048-1055.
Ratcliff G, Dodge H, Birzescu M, and Ganguli M. 2003. Tracking Cognitive Functioning Over Time: Ten-Year Longitudinal Data From a Community-Based Study. Applied Neuropsychology 10(2):76-88.
Rodgers W, and Ofstedal M. 2003. Authors’ Reply to the Commentary. Journals of Gerontology: Social Sciences 58B(6): S348-S349.
Rodgers W, Ofstedal M, and Herzog AR. 2003. Trends in scores on tests of cognitive ability in the elderly U.S. population: 1993-2000. Journals of Gerontology: Social Sciences 58B(6): S338-S346.
Sulander TT, Rahkonen OJ, Uutela AK. 2003. Functional Ability in the Elderly Finnish Population: Time Period Differences and Associations, 1985-99. Scandinavian Journal of Public Health 31(2): 100-106.
2002
Costa D. 2002. Changing chronic disease rates and functional decline among older men. Demography 39(1):119-37.
Freedman VA, Aykan H, Martin LG. 2002. Another look at aggregate changes in severe cognitive impairment: Cumulative effects of three survey design issues. Journal of Gerontology: Social Sciences 57B(2):5126-5131.
Freedman VA, Martin LG, and Schoeni RF. 2002. Recent Trends in Disability and Functioning Among Older Americans: A Systematic Review. Journal of the American Medical Association 288: 3137 - 3146.
Gill TM, Hardy SE, Williams CS. 2002. Underestimation of Disability in Community-Living Older Persons. Journal of the American Geriatrics Society 50(9): 1492-1497.
Picavet HS, Hoeymans N. 2002. Physical Disability in the Netherlands: Prevalence, Risk Groups and Time Trends. Public Health 116(4): 231-237.
Schoeni RF, Freedman VA, and Wallace RB. 2002. Late-life morbidity trajectories and socioeconomic status. Review of Gerontology and Geriatrics In Press.
Spillman BC, Liu K, and McGilliard C. 2002. Trends in Residential Long Term Care: Use of Nursing Homes and Assisted Living and Characteristics of Facilities and Residents. with Korbin Liu and Cary McGilliard. Report to the Department of Health and Human Services, Assistant Secretary for Planning and Evaluation, Office of Aging and Long-Term Care Policy.
Spillman BC, Lubitz J. 2002. New Estimates of Lifetime Nursing Home Use: Have Patterns of Use Changed? Medical Care 40(10):965-975.
Zimmer Z, Martin LG, and Chang M. 2002. Changes in Functional Limitations and Survival Among the Elderly in Taiwan: 1993, 1996, and 1999. Population Studies 56(3):265-276.
2001
Corder EH, and Manton KG. 2001. Change in the prevalence of severe dementia among older Americans: 1982-1999. Paper presented at the IUSSP XXIV General Population Conference, Salvador, Brazil, August.
Crimmins EM, and Saito Y. 2001. Trends in health life expectancy in the United States, 1970-1990: gender, racial, and educational differences. Journal of Social Science and Medicine 52:1629-1641.
Cutler DM. 2001. Declining disability among the elderly. Health Affairs 11-27. November/December.
Cutler DM. 2001. The reduction in disability among the elderly. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 98:6546-6547CC.
Desai M, Pratt LA, Lentzner H, and Robinson KN. 2001. Trends in vision and hearing among older Americans. Aging Trends No 2. Hyattsville, MD: National Center for Health Statistics.
Freedman VA, and Aykan H. 2001. Asking leading vs. neutral questions: Implications for functional limitation measurement. Journal of Gerontology: Social Sciences December 2001. Presented at the annual meeting of the 2001 Gerontological Society of America.
Freedman VA, and Aykan H. 2001. The contribution of medication use to recent trends in old-age functioning. Report prepared for the Assistant Secretary for Planning and Evaluation.
Freedman VA, Aykan H, and Martin LG. 2001. Aggregate changes in severe cognitive impairment among older Americans: 1993 and 1998. Journal of Gerontology: Social Sciences 56B(2):100-111.
Gersten O, and Wilmoth JR. 2001. Cancer mortality in Japan since 1951: Trends, causes, and implications. Paper presented at the annual meeting of the Population Association of America, Washington, DC.
Jacobzone S, Cambois E, and Robine J. 2001. Is the Health of Older Persons in OECD Countries Improving Fast Enough to Compensate for Population Ageing? mimeo, OECD
Kinsella K, and Velkoff AV. 2001. An Aging World: 2001. U.S. Census Bureau. Series P95/01-1. US Government Printing Office, Washington DC, 2001.
Lubitz L, Greenberg L, Gorinaa Y, Wartzman L, and Gibson D. 2001. Three decades of health care use by the elderly: 1965-1998. Journal of Health Affairs 20:19-32.
Manton KG, and Gu X. 2001. Changes in the prevalence of chronic disability in the United States black and nonblack population above age 65 from 1982 to 1999. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 98:6354-6359.
Pitkala KH, Valvanne J, Kulp S, Strandberg TE, Tilvis RS. 2001. Secular Trends in Self-Reported Functioning, Need for Assistance and Attitudes Towards Life: 10-Year Differences of Three Older Cohorts. Journal of the American Geriatrics Society 49(5): 596-600.
Schoeni RF, Freedman VA, and Wallace RB. 2001. Persistent, consistent, widespread, and robust? Another look at recent trends in old-age disability. Journal of Gerontology: Social Sciences 56B:S206-S218.
2000
Costa D. 2000. Understanding the twentieth century decline in chronic conditions among older men. Journal of Demography 37:53-72.
Crimmins EM, and Saito Y. 2000. Change in the prevalence of diseases among older Americans: 1984-1994. Journal of Demographic Research 3(9).
Freedman VA, and Martin LG. 2000. Contribution of chronic conditions to aggregate changes in old-age functioning. American Journal of Public Health 90(11):1755-1760.
Freedman VA. 2000. Implications of asking “ambiguous” difficulty questions: An analysis of the second wave of the Asset and Health Dynamics of the Oldest Old Study. Journal of Gerontology: Social Sciences 55B:288-297.
Fries JF. 2000. Compression of morbidity in the elderly. Vaccine 18:1584-1589.
Liao YL, Mcgee DL, Cao G, Cooper LS. 2000. Quality of the Last Year of Life of Older Adults: 1986 Vs 1993. Jama-Journal of the American Medical Association 283(4): 512-518.
McClellan M, and Yan L. 2000. Understanding disability trends in the U.S. elderly population: the role of disease management and disease prevention. Paper presented at the annual meeting of the Population Association of America..
Spillman BC, and Pezzin LE. 2000. Potential and Active Family Caregivers: Changing Networks and the ‘Sandwich’ Generation. The Milbank Quarterly 78(3):347-374.
Spillman BC, Lubitz J. 2000. The Effect of Longevity on Spending for Acute and Long-Term Care. New England Journal of Medicine 342(19):1409-1415.
Waidmann TA, and Liu K. 2000. Disability trends among the elderly and implications for the future. Journal of Gerontology: Social Sciences 55B, S298-S307.
Waidmann TA, Liu K. 2000. Disability Trends Among Elderly Persons and Implications for the Future. Journals of Gerontology Series B-Psychological Sciences and Social Sciences 55(5): S298-S307.
1999
Allaire SH et al. 1999. Evidence for Decline in Disability and Improved Health Among Persons Aged 55 to 70 Years: The Framingham Heart Study. American Journal of Public Health 89(11): 1678-1683.
Aykan H, Freedman VA, and Martin LG. 1999. Re-weighting the Second Supplement on Aging to the 1994 National Health Interview Survey for trend analyses. RAND Labor and Population Program Working Paper Series DRU-2066-NIA.
Crimmins EM, Reynolds SL, Saito Y. 1999. Trends in Health and Ability to Work Among the Older Working-Age Population. Journals of Gerontology Series B-Psychological Sciences and Social Sciences 54(1): S31-S40.
Freedman VA, and Martin LG. 1999. The role of education in explaining and forecasting trends in functional limitations among older Americans. Demography 36(4):461-473.
Ostir GV, Carlson JE, Black SA, Rudkin L, Goodwin JS, Markides KS. 1999. Disability in Older Adults 1: Prevalence, Causes, and Consequences. Behavioral Medicine 24(4): 147-156.
Rhoades JA, and Krauss NA. 1999. Nursing home trends, 1987 and 1996. Rockville MD: Agency for Health Care Policy and Research. in MEPS Chartbook No. 3.
1998
Freedman VA, and Martin LG. 1998. Understanding trends in functional limitations among older Americans. American Journal of Public Health 88(10):1457-1462.
Fries JF. 1998. Reducing cumulative lifetime disability: the compression of morbidity. British Journal of Sports Medicine 1998;32;193.
Manton KG, Stallard E, and Corder L. 1998. The dynamics of dimensions of age-related disability 1982 to 1995 in the U.S. elderly population. Journal of Gerontology: Biological Sciences 53A, B59-B70.
Reynolds SL, Crimmins EM, and Saito Y. 1998. Cohort differences in disability and disease presence. The Gerontologist 38: 578-590.
Rosamond WD, Chambless LE, Folsom AR, Cooper LS, Conwill DE, Clegg L, Wang CH, and Heiss G. 1998. Trends in the incidence of myocardial infarction and in mortality due to coronary heart disease, 1987-1994. New England Journal of Medicine 339:861-867.
Waidmann TA, and Manton KG. 1998. International Evidence on Disability Trends Among the Elderly. US DHHS
1997
Center for Disease Control C. 1997. Trends in the prevalence and incidence of self-reported diabetes mellitus, 1980-1994. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report 46:1014-1018..
Clark D. 1997. US trends in disability and institutionalization among older Blacks and Whites. American Journal of Public Health 87(3):438-440.
Crimmins EM, Saito Y, and Reynolds SL. 1997. Further evidence on recent trends in the prevalence and incidence of disability among older Americans from two sources: The LSOA and the NHIS. Journal of Gerontology: Social Sciences 52B, S59-S71.
Fogel R, Costa D. 1997. A Theory of Technophysio Evolution, with Some Implications for Forecasting Population, Health Care Costs, and Pension Costs. Journal of Demography 34:49-66.F.
Kuh D, and Ben-Shlomo Y. 1997. A life course approach to chronic disease epidemiology. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Manton KG, Corder L, and Stallard E. 1997. Chronic disability trends in elderly United States populations: 1982-1994. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 94:2593-2598.
Newcomer LM, Stanford JL, Blumenstein BA, and Brawer MK. 1997. Temporal trends in rates of prostate cancer: declining incidence of advanced stage disease. Journal of Urology 158:1427-1430.
1996
Chu KC, Tarone RE, Kessler LG, Ries LA, Hankey BF, Miller BA, and Edwards BK. 1996. Recent trends in U.S. breast cancer incidence, survival, and mortality rates. Journal of the National Cancer Institute 6:1571-1579.
Crimmins EM. 1996. Mixed trends in population health among older adults. Journal of Gerontology: Social Sciences 51:S223-S225.
Galuska DA, Serdula M, and Pamuk E. 1996. Trends in overweight among US adults from 1987 to 1993: a multistate telephone survey. American Journal of Public Health 86:1729-1735.
